Shekau and his gang: activities in the North east have made Nigeria the fourth in global terrorism index

No thanks to Boko Haram, Nigeria has emerged the fourth nation in the world on the Global Terrorism Index, ranked just below Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Syria, now riven by a devastating civil war is ranked 5th.

The Australia and US-based Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) in its Global Terrorism Index for 2013 released today, said the number of people killed in militant attacks worldwide jumped more than 60 percent last year to a record high of nearly 18,000 and the figure could rise further in 2014 due to an escalation of conflict in the Middle East and Nigeria.

Four Islamist groups operating in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Nigeria were responsible for two thirds of the 2013 attacks and the vast majority of the deaths occurred in those countries, the report said.

There were 303 terrorism incidents catalogued for Nigeria, with 1826 fatalities and 457 injuries, figures bound to be eclipsed judging by the ferocity of 2014 attacks by Boko Haram. The cost of the insurgency to the National economy was estimated at $28.48 billion, with Nigeria also ranked 151 out of 162 nations in the Global Peace Index.

The report said last year 6362 people died in Iraq, the most terrorist plagued country in the world, arising from 2492 terrorism incidents, while Afghanistan had 3,111 deaths, out of 1148 incidents. Pakistan, the third winner of the terrorism index had 2345 fatalities, from 1933 incidents.

The compilers of the report generally noted an upward trend in militant attacks globally, with two dozen countries seeing more than 50 deaths in 2013.

The four most active militant groupings are Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (now renamed Islamic State), Nigeria’s Boko Haram, the Afghan and Pakistani Taliban and transnational al Qaeda-affiliated networks.

“There is no doubt it is a growing problem. The causes are complex but the four groups responsible for most of the deaths all have their roots in fundamentalist Islam,” said IEP founder Steve Killelea.

“They are particularly angry about the spread of Western education. That makes any attempt at the kind of social mobilising you need to stop them particularly difficult – it can just antagonise them more,” he said.

The number of attacks themselves rose 44 percent in 2013 from the previous year to almost 10,000.

Deaths in such attacks are now five times higher than in 2000, the report showed, citing analysis of data in the University of Maryland’s Global Terrorism Database.

Most but not all militant attacks were religiously motivated. Attacks in India – the sixth most affected country – rose 70 percent in 2013 largely due to attacks by communist insurgents. The majority remained non-lethal.

Increased targeting of police by the militant groups makes managing the problem even harder, Killelea said, sometimes fuelling rights abuses that compound existing grievances.

The report showed 60 percent of attacks involved explosives, 20 percent firearms and 10 percent other actions such as arson, knives or attacks with motor vehicles. Only five percent of all incidents since 2000 have involved suicide bombings.

The report showed some 80 percent of the militant groups which had ceased their activity since 2000 did so following negotiations. Only 10 percent achieved their goals, while seven percent were eliminated by military action.