Nigeria officially in recession as economy records negative growth for second quarter

Nigeria officially in recession as economy records negative growth for second quarter

Wednesday, August 31, 2016 2:00 pm


President Muhammadu Buhari

President Muhammadu Buhari

Nigeria officially entered into recession on Wednesday as figures from the National Bureau of Statistics indicated a negative economic growth for the second consecutive quarter.

Figures released by the NBS on Wednesday morning indicated that the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) declines by -2.06 per cent (year-on-year) in the second quarter of 2016,  a reduction of 1.70 per cent points from the growth rate of -0.36 per cent recorded in the preceding quarter.

Nigeria has now recorded two consecutive quarters of declining growth in GDP, the usual definition of recession. According to the bureau, it records an increase of 0.82 per cent quarter on quarter.

The Bureau also noted in the second quarter, oil production stood at 1.69 million barrels per day (mbpd), dropping by 0.42 million barrels per day from production in the first quarter of 2016, and also representing a decline of 0.36 million barrels per day from the 2.05 million barrels per day crude oil production recorded in the second quarter of 2015.

“As a result, real growth in the oil sector was negative 17.48 per cent (year-on-year) in the Second Quarter of 2016. Growth declined by 10.68 per cent points and 15.59 per cent points relative to growth in the second quarter of 2015 and first quarter of 2016 respectively. Quarter-on-Quarter, growth also slowed by -19.11 per cent.

“As a share of the economy, the Oil sector contributed 8.26 per cent to total real GDP, down from the contribution recorded in the corresponding period of 2015 and the first quarter of 2016 by 1.54 per cent points and 2.03 per cent points respectively.

NBS said growth in the non-oil sector was largely driven by activities in the agriculture, information & communication, water supply, arts entertainment and recreation, professional scientific and technical services, education and other Services which all grew positively.

The statistical body said 19 major sectors, most of which are substantially indirectly dependent on the oil sector recorded negative growth.

“The non-oil sector accordingly, declined by 0.38 per cent in real terms in the second quarter of 2016. This growth rate was 0.20 per cent points lower than the first quarter of 2016 (-0.18 per cent), and 3.84 per cent points lower from the corresponding quarter in 2015 (3.46 per cent).

“In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 91.74 per cent to the nation’s GDP, higher from shares recorded in the first quarter of 2016 (89.71 per cent) and the second quarter of 2015 (90.20 per cent).”


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